How To Avoid Worst-Case Scenarios

In order to give a brief instruction on how to avoid worst-case scenarios of any type, first of all we have to set the following axiom: man can not foresee the future, regardless of how hard one tries to do so. As trivial (and in this particular case also paradoxical) a remark this may seem initially, as important and decisive it is for attaining our goal. So let us continue by stating that any virtually created prospect of a given future situation (p) thus will never exactly match the outcome of the actual anticipated situation (s). The actual outcome may be close to what was imagined, but will in no case be an exact match. The rate of deviations will turn out to increase as the degree of detail of the predicted image of the future situation increases. Let us now assume a future situation (p) of which we only roughly know the outline and of which we are afraid because of what we expect of and/or do not know about it. It is now crucial to imagine the outcome of this situation as detailedly, explicitly and devastatingly as possible - in other words to create one (!) worst-case scenario in our mind. Since the following actual situation (s) can not be an exact match of this image, the individual worst-case scenario of this given situation has successfully been avoided.
Of course, this method as described above does have its obvious catches: Firstly, having avoided a worst-case scenario (which inevitably differs from individual to individual, from situation to situation) does not save a person from an outcome (s) that to a certain extent may be similar and thus still devastating, only not being a worst-case scenario. Of course, a person can think of and explicate more than one future scenario in all detail, trying to avoid as many unwanted outcomes as possible - but no human being will ever be capable of doing this sufficiently for all possible outcomes, since there are infinite constellations to be conceived. And secondly, this method of avoiding worst-case scenarios might trick one into avoiding actually wanted outcomes, the positive counterpart of the worst-case scenario, so to speak, by accidentally applying it to blissful imaginations.

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